What we found
- Both rows are official FBI public service announcements published on ic3.gov, dated the same day, and speak directly to the subject of the alert.
- The named crime types, contact methods and election worker definitions are quoted conduct categories taken straight from the advisories rather than inferred.
- Confidence covers the warning itself only — the advisories report no incident counts, losses or live cases, so no claim is made about scale.
- Reviewed by 2 models, 1 from independent houses.
- This is a higher-risk finding. Our rule asks for 2 independent reviews before we state full confidence; 1 returned.
- Confidence is shown as moderate for that reason, not because the evidence is weaker.
What we don’t know
- Whether any specific false-voting-information message, vote-buying offer or donation solicitation is currently circulating, and what it says.
- How contact is initiated in practice — no phone numbers, sender addresses, links or account details appear in either advisory.
- How many voters or election workers have been affected, and in which states or counties.
- Whether any money has moved, and by what method, in the campaign finance schemes the advisory lists.
The bench — who voted
2 INDEPENDENT AI MODELS REVIEWED THIS. 1 OF 2 — ONE MODEL DISSENTED. READ WHY.
The card names a count. Here are the seats behind it, with what each one said.
DISSENT, PRESERVEDThe 'high' stated confidence is defensible only for the narrow proposition that the two announcements exist and say what is quoted. It should not be read as confidence that any of these crimes is currently occurring at scale; the alert's own unknowns section concedes no incident, volume or loss data exists in the harvested material.
DISSENT, PRESERVEDAn alert whose entire actionable content is 'verify where you vote' and 'do not sell your vote' carries little protective value but does carry a small cost: repeating a list of election crimes with no live example can leave readers more suspicious of legitimate election communications. I would have preferred the panel state plainly that nothing in the evidence indicates an active scheme.
Reviewed by 2 independent models; all found the finding carried by the evidence.
▼ Protocol & challenge record
ON THE RECORDI do not accept 'high' confidence on this item as currently framed. What is established at high confidence is that the FBI published two routine educational notices. What the alert communicates — by headline, by risk line, by 'ATTENTION: VOTERS AND ELECTION WORKERS', by three watch icons, by a share directive — is that voters face an active threat. The gap between those two things is the entire alert. The limitations paragraph is honest but it arrives after the reader has already been told to forward this to everyone they know who votes.
ON THE RECORDThe single most important fact in row 1 for judging this item is the phrase 'Consistent with past practice.' The FBI is telling you, in its own second sentence, that this is what it does every cycle. That phrase appears nowhere in the finding. Omitting it is not a formatting choice; it removes the reader's ability to distinguish a routine notice from a response to events. I would require it be quoted in the finding before publication.
ON THE RECORDThe '-2' in PSA261015-2 is a loose thread that was not pulled. Asserting 'two' announcements when the URL structure and the truncated 'see the following Public Service Announcements' footer both point to a larger same-day series is the kind of small, checkable overstatement that undermines everything else on the page. Either harvest the rest of the series or stop counting.
ON THE RECORD'ATTENTION: VETERANS' in the callout options has no conceivable derivation from these two rows. I want it on the record that this option was generated with zero source basis, because a generation process that can produce that option unprompted can produce it selected.
The sources
Official sourceFBI Warns Voters on Election Crimes Ahead of the November 2026 Midterm Election2026-10-15
That announcement lists intentionally lying about the time, place, or manner of an election to prevent qualified voters from voting as a federal election crime, alongside vote buying and threatening voters with physical or financial harm.
Official sourceFBI Warns Voters on Election Crimes Ahead of the November 2026 Midterm Election2026-10-15
The FBI issued a public service announcement on 15 October 2026 to educate voters about federal election crimes ahead of the November 2026 midterm election and to encourage reporting of suspected violations.
Official sourceFBI Cautions About Threats to Election Workers Ahead of the November 2026 Midterm Election2026-10-15
A companion FBI announcement published the same day states that threats to election workers can be communicated through telephone calls and emails, social media posts, and in-person statements.
Official sourceFBI Cautions About Threats to Election Workers Ahead of the November 2026 Midterm Election2026-10-15
That announcement defines election workers broadly to include elected officials, appointed officials, staff, volunteers, contractors, vendors and liaisons, giving an individual volunteering at a polling station and clerks handling and counting cast ballots as examples.
Official sourceFBI Warns Voters on Election Crimes Ahead of the November 2026 Midterm Election2026-10-15
It also names conduit contributions or straw donor schemes, contributions from foreign or other prohibited sources, and contributions above legal limits among the campaign finance violations it describes.
Other checks
Published under standing founder pass (A9) — every claim source-mapped by the machine.
▼ What the machine checked
- ✓ Not a community submission.
- ✓ No entity is named.
- ✓ All 5 material sentence(s) map to FBI/IC3.
- ✗ anthropic raised 3 objection(s); anthropic recorded dissent — published on the receipt, not blocking (A9 amendment).
- ✓ No audience band is set.
No human affirmed these. They were verified by the classifier described in Amendment A9, on 2026-10-16.
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